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Dogecoin At Make-Or-Break Point After Multi-Year Trendline Test

Krypto4u by Krypto4u
March 19, 2025
in Dogecoin
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Dogecoin (DOGE) closed final week on a bullish word after testing essential technical ranges that would outline its subsequent directional transfer. The weekly chart on Binance (DOGE/USDT) reveals that DOGE is at the moment buying and selling simply above the numerous 0.786 Fibonacci retracement degree at $0.167. This retracement is drawn from the all-time low at $0.0805 to the height of $0.4844.

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Dogecoin Reversal Confirmed?

A notable technical improvement is the interplay with a long-standing descending trendline, extending from the Could 2021 all-time excessive. DOGE just lately retested this trendline as help after breaking above it in November 2024.

Dogecoin price
DOGE value, 1-week chart | Supply: DOGEUSDT on TradingView.com

Final week’s candle printed a Hammer-like formation, characterised by a small actual physique close to the top quality and a considerably longer decrease shadow. Whereas the candle additionally shows a modest higher wick, the dominance of the decrease shadow alerts that consumers absorbed aggressive promote stress beneath the trendline and pushed the worth again above the 0.786 Fibonacci degree – a robust bullish signal.

Associated Studying

Nonetheless, this week could possibly be as essential as final week. A weekly shut above $0.167 appears important to substantiate the momentum. In any other case, one other take a look at of the multi-year trendline might grow to be a make-or-break second for the Dogecoin value.

Notably, momentum indicators stay impartial to bearish. The weekly Relative Power Index (RSI) closed round 39, reflecting subdued shopping for energy and highlighting that DOGE remains to be working beneath the impartial 50 mark.

The Exponential Transferring Averages (EMAs) are offering layered resistance above the present value.
The 100-week EMA lies at $0.17284, positioned simply above DOGE’s present vary, whereas the 50-week EMA is positioned at $0.21427. The 20-week EMA, the extra quick resistance throughout earlier rallies, now sits at $0.24805. Assist is strengthened on the 200-week EMA round $0.13621, a degree that might possible function a final line of protection ought to DOGE crash beneath the multi-year trendline.

Associated Studying

Value motion in current weeks additionally exhibits DOGE breaking down from a bearish flag or channel formation, with the breakdown accelerating towards the confluence of the 0.786 Fibonacci degree and the descending trendline retest. Regardless of this, the market responded with sturdy shopping for curiosity within the highlighted purple help zone.

On-chain information additional contextualizes the current value motion. Analytics agency Santiment reported by way of X right this moment that Dogecoin, like most meme cash, has been closely impacted through the ongoing two-month market-wide retracement. Nonetheless, Santiment identified a bullish divergence on the community aspect.

The agency states: “Dogecoin, like most meme cash, have been hammered through the 2-month crypto-wide retrace. Nonetheless, we advocate maintaining a tally of the rising degree of wallets holding not less than 1M $DOGE, which has recovered through the value dump. Energetic addresses are additionally at 4-month highs.”

Dogecoin active addresses
Dogecoin energetic addresses | Supply: X @santimentfeed

Including to this sentiment, crypto analyst Daan Crypto Trades commented by way of X: “DOGE much like PEPE however has already retaken the Election degree after sweeping it. I believe these are key ranges to maintain watching on plenty of these alts. A sweep & retake alerts some brief time period reduction and these ranges can provide a clear invalidation degree afterwards.”

Dogecoin price analysis
Dogecoin value evaluation | Supply: X @DaanCrypto

This aligns with the technical remark that DOGE’s current value motion might symbolize a sweep of liquidity beneath a key degree, adopted by a restoration above help — a typical short-term bullish reversal sample in crypto markets.

Featured picture created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com



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Tags: DogecoinMakeorBreakMultiYearPointTestTrendline
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